Federal-Provincial-Territorial Meeting of Ministers of the Environment

BACKGROUNDER – Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections to 2020 and 2030

The figure below shows the expected range of emissions in 2020 and in  2030 under different economic and energy price and production scenarios.

The projections to 2020 and 2030 include current actions taken by  governments, consumers and businesses, as well as the future impacts of  policies and measures that have been put in place as of September 2015. These projections  do not reflect the impact of additional federal, provincial or territorial  measures that have been announced since September 2015 or which are still under  development, including those from Alberta, Ontario, Quebec and Manitoba.

Canada's Emission Projections to 2020 and 2030 (Mt  CO2 eq)

Unless we take more action, our models show Canada's greenhouse gas emissions  would be 768 megatons of CO2 in 2020 and 815 megatons of CO2  in 2030.

The expected range of emissions illustrates the level of work we need to  undertake to close the gap between where Canada's emissions are today, and  where they need to be to avoid the worst effects of climate change going  forward, and to meet Canada's commitments under the Paris Agreement.